Thursday 10 July 2008

Aussie Employment Bounces Back in June


Despite recent evidence of a slowdown in the Australian economy, the labour market showed resiliency in June, bouncing back from the job losses in May. From the abs:


SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

EMPLOYMENT

  • increased by 29,800 to 10,715,700. Full-time employment increased by 24,000 to 7,664,600 and part-time employment increased by 5,800 to 3,051,100.

UNEMPLOYMENT

  • decreased by 2,800 to 473,800. The number of persons looking for full-time work decreased by 300 to 317,100 and the number of persons looking for part-time work decreased by 2,600 to 156,700.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

  • decreased slightly to 4.2%. The male unemployment rate remained steady at 4.0%, and the female unemployment rate decreased by 0.1 percentage point to
    4.5%.

PARTICIPATION RATE

  • increased by 0.1 percentage point to 65.3%.



It may seem surprising that employment continues to be strong in the face of recent contractionary service and manufacturing reports, 16 year lows in consumer sentiment and a declining real estate market.

However we should remember that employment is a lagging indicator and that firms don't really start laying people off on mass until the writing is well and truly on the wall.


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